Blogalwarning

The truth that was swept under the rug

The Dreaded 43:1 Ratio

By Bigblock57, Blogalwarning blog.

One of the most beloved slogans of the gun control crowd is that for every justifiable gun-related death (i.e self-defense) there are otherwise 43 gun related deaths. The reader is supposed to conclude here that “it is not worth it” to have guns among the general population. Second amendment and gun rights aside, what is that 43:1 ratio?

This ratio is a result of the famous research of doctors Kellerman and Reay that was published in 1986. It studied reasons for gun related deaths in King County, Washington (population 1,270,000), from 1978 through 1983. The table below is a summary of their results:

Unintentional deaths

12

Criminal homicide

41

Suicide

333

Unknown

3

 

 

Total

389

Self-protection homicide

9

 

 389:9 = 43:1

 

 

There are two phases for evaluating this study.

Phase 1: What’s in it.

The most obvious observation is that 333 of the 389 gun related deaths are suicides. Including those in the research must be under the assumption that with no access to guns those 333 suicides would have been alive today. Which is utter nonsense. A person who is determined to commit a suicide will do that, with or without a gun. So now we are left with 56:9, which is more like 6:1. We can leave it at that, or go further to say that out of the 56, 42 are criminal homicides. Since we know that gun laws only take guns out of the hands of law abiding citizens, there is no point in discussing these 41 in the context of gun control. Criminals will keep having guns and will keep using them to kill people. So what are we left with? 15:9? Which is 1.5:1. The dreaded 43:1 have shrunk quite a bit hasn’t it?

Phase 2: what is not in it.

The 9 justified self defense deaths, are just the tip of the iceberg of self defense by a gun. The body of the iceberg, all underwater is the many times that guns were used in self defense, which either a stopped a crime without shooting, or in which the attacker was shot but not killed. The numbers are astounding. Since no such research was conducted for the same population during the same period of time, there is no way to establish an alternative ratio for the research of Kellerman and Reay. However, there is no need. The numbers speak volumes.

In their study, “Armed Resistance to Crime: The Prevalence and Nature of Self-Defense With a Gun,” 86 The Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, Northwestern University School of Law, 1 (Fall 1995) Gary Kleck and Marc Gertz concluded that guns are used to defend law abiding citizens against crimes 2.5 million times each year. Out of them As many as 200,000 women use a gun every year to defend themselves against sexual abuse.

Anti-gun Clinton researchers concede that guns are used 1.5 million times annually for self-defense. According to the Clinton Justice Department, there are as many as 1.5 million cases of self-defense every year. The National Institute of Justice published this figure in 1997 as part of “Guns in America” — a study which was authored by noted anti-gun criminologists Philip Cook and Jens Ludwig

The good news about using guns for self-defense is that in only less than 3% of the cases that a gun was used in self defense, a shooting actually occurred. In most cases guns are merely pointed at another person, or perhaps only referred to (“I’ve got a gun”) or displayed, and this is sufficient to stop a crime.

In summary, not only the dreaded ratio of 43:1 is nonsense and baseless, it is also completely not important as it looks at those cases that are less than 3% of the self-defense-by-guns story.

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March 9, 2009 - Posted by | 2nd amendment | , , , , ,

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